Tools for Decision Analysis
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under estatística, Investigação Operacional, materiais ensino
- Introduction & Summary
- Probabilistic Modeling: From Data to a Decisive Knowledge
- Decision Analysis: Making Justifiable, Defensible Decisions
- Elements of Decision Analysis Models
- Decision Making Under Pure Uncertainty: Materials are presented in the context of Financial Portfolio Selections.
- Limitations of Decision Making under Pure Uncertainty
- Coping with Uncertainties
- Decision Making Under Risk: Presentation is in the context of Financial Portfolio Selections under risk.
- Making a Better Decision by Buying Reliable Information: Applications are drawn from Marketing a New Product.
- Decision Tree and Influence Diagram
- Why Managers Seek the Advice From Consulting Firms
- Revising Your Expectation and its Risk
- Determination of the Decision-Maker’s Utility
- Utility Function Representations with Applications
- A Classification of Decision Maker’s Relative Attitudes Toward Risk and Its Impact
- The Discovery and Management of Losses
- Risk: The Four Letters Word
- Decision’s Factors-Prioritization & Stability Analysis
- Optimal Decision Making Process
- JavaScript E-labs Learning Objects
- A Critical Panoramic View of Classical Decision Analysis
- Exercise Your Knowledge to Enhance What You Have Learned (PDF)
- Appendex: A Collection of Keywords and Phrases
Tags: intro IO
Leadership Decision Making
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, materiais ensino
- Introduction and Summary
- How People Avoid Making Serious Decisions
- When One Should Not Make Serious Decisions
- How to Make Good Decisions
- Decisions Concerning Personal Life
- Problem of Determination of Values and Rank among Values
- Thinkable Decisions and the Economy of Strategic Thinking
- What Is Man? Man Has No Nature, But Has History
- How the Mind Works: From Deciding to Action
- How to Distinguish among Rumor, Belief, Opinion, and Fact
- Leadership versus Managerial’s Duties and Styles
- Cognitive Decision Making
- Behavioral Decision Making
- Ethics and Decision Making
- Leadership in a Diverse and Multicultural Environmen
- Human Side of Decision Making
- Personal and Public Views of Rationality
- Human Understanding in a Historical Context
- General Further Readings
- Appendex: A Collection of Keywords and Phrases
Tags: captura de conhecimento, intro IO
Introduction to the Science of Making Decisions
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, materiais ensino
- Introduction and Summary
- Operations Research, Management Science,
Decision Science, and Success Science (OR/MS/DS/SS) - What Is OR/MS/DS/SS?
- Historical Needs for OR/MS/DS/SS
- The Nature and Meaning of OR/MS/DS/SS
- The Methodology of OR/MS/DS/SS
- The Prototype Applications
- Flexibility and Variety of Careers in OR/MS/DS/SS
- The Multidisciplinary and Interdisciplinary Nature OR/MS/DS/SS:
- Multi-perspective Modeling Process
- Classifications of Models: Mechanical, Mental/Verbal, Analytical, and Simulation Models
- From Mental Modeling to Analytical Modeling
- Decision-Maker’s Environment
- Modeling Is At the Heart of Decision-Making Process
- Analytical Modeling Process for Decision-Making
- Decision-Making Process in Organizations: Dynamic Strategic Plan
- The Difficulties of Analytical Modeling Process
- Modeling Validation Process
- Cost Considerations and Time Discounting Rate Factor
- Why Analytical Modeling?
- A Guide to Carrying Out the Modeling Process
- The Gaps between Modeling and Implementation
- The Becoming of a Management Scientist
Tags: intro IO
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, visualização
I thought that fuzzy cognitive maps are a very interesting idea that may have some potential. I was curious to try and see whether I had grasped the concept and could come up with a fuzzy cognitive map that provides information about a system. Since programming is understanding, I thought that the best way to ensure that I had understood something was to write a program to draw and run fuzzy cognitive maps. I programmed an applet that you can find here. After that, I wrote some tutorials and then the rest of this web site. The last addition has been the forum.
Home | Tutorials | Software| Library | Links | Disclaimer | Contact
Tags: captura de conhecimento, data mining, grafos, mapas
Using Concept Maps
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, visualização
As part of the project, a collaborative software system was developed called the Knowledge Soup (Cañas et al 1996), which allows students from distant schools to share claims (propositions) derived from their concept maps regarding any domain of knowledge being studied.
Tags: captura de conhecimento, data mining, decisao em grupo, grafos
Concept Mapping: Informal to Formal
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, visualização
Concept mapping techniques, both formal and informal, are useful in knowledge representation, decision support, education, documentation, meeting support, brainstorming, and a host of other areas.
Tags: captura de conhecimento, data mining, grafos, mapas
Cognitive Mapping: Definitions, Examples, and Resources
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, visualização
- Definition of Cognitive Mapping
- History and Use of the Term
Examples of cognitive maps - The Process of Cognitive Mapping
- Different Types of Cognitive Map
and Mapping Techniques
Causal mapping - Definition of a Concept Map
Examples of concept maps - Theory and Use of Concept Maps
- The Medicine Wheel as a Concept Map
- Semantic Mapping
Examples of semantic maps - Semantic Web
- Visual Schemata
- Wayfinding — Which Way Is Up?
- Intrapsychic cognitive maps
- History and Use of the Term
- Left Sidebar
- Right Sidebar —
References & Resources
Tags: captura de conhecimento, data mining, grafos, mapas
Mapas cognitivos – How to Map
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, visualização
Cognitive Mapping is a technique which has been developed over a period of time and through its application has demonstrated its use for Operational Researchers working on a variety of different tasks.
Tags: captura de conhecimento, data mining, grafos, mapas
History of Spreadsheets
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, SAD - DSS
A Brief History of Spreadsheets
by D. J. Power
Editor, DSSResources.COM
Tags: Excel, programação em folha de cálculo
Problems with Gantt Charts
Posted by Armando Brito Mendes | Filed under Investigação Operacional, planeamento, visualização
Computer screens are generally too small for an overview of big serious projects. Horizontal and vertical scrolling are necessary to see more than about 40 horizontal time lines for a reasonable period of time. Thus, for large projects, print out the sequence on a big roll of paper and put it up on a wall.
Tags: gestão de projetos