{"id":1724,"date":"2016-06-16T09:40:19","date_gmt":"2016-06-16T09:40:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/?p=1724"},"modified":"2016-06-16T09:43:04","modified_gmt":"2016-06-16T09:43:04","slug":"why-predicting-impossible","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/estatistica\/why-predicting-impossible\/","title":{"rendered":"why predicting a mass shooting is impossible"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_1725\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.vox.com\/2016\/6\/15\/11934794\/cartoon-predicting-a-mass-shooting-mathematically-impossible\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1725\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1725\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/files\/2016\/06\/vox-300x88.png\" alt=\"clicar na imagem para seguir o link\" width=\"300\" height=\"88\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/files\/2016\/06\/vox-300x88.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/files\/2016\/06\/vox.png 427w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1725\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">clicar na imagem para seguir o link<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">Excelente exemplo na previs\u00e3o de acontecimentos raros<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2>This cartoon explains why predicting a mass shooting is impossible<\/h2>\n<h3>It\u2019s simple math.<\/h3>\n<p>Updated by <a rel=\"author\" href=\"http:\/\/www.vox.com\/authors\/brian-resnick\">Brian Resnick<\/a> and <a rel=\"author\" href=\"http:\/\/www.vox.com\/authors\/javier-zarracina\">Javier Zarracina<\/a> on June 15, 2016, 10:30 a.m. ET<\/p>\n<div><span> <\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=This%20cartoon%20explains%20why%20predicting%20a%20mass%20shooting%20is%20impossible&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.vox.com%2F2016%2F6%2F15%2F11934794%2Fcartoon-predicting-a-mass-shooting-mathematically-impossible&amp;via=voxdotcom\"> Tweet <\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.vox.com%2F2016%2F6%2F15%2F11934794%2Fcartoon-predicting-a-mass-shooting-mathematically-impossible\"> Share (713) <\/a> <a>+<\/a><\/p>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?mini=true&amp;source=Vox&amp;summary=It%E2%80%99s+simple+math.&amp;title=This+cartoon+explains+why+predicting+a+mass+shooting+is%26nbsp%3Bimpossible&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.vox.com%2F2016%2F6%2F15%2F11934794%2Fcartoon-predicting-a-mass-shooting-mathematically-impossible\"> <\/a><a href=\"mailto:?subject=From%20Vox.com%3A%20This%20cartoon%20explains%20why%20predicting%20a%20mass%20shooting%20is%20impossible&amp;body=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.vox.com%2F2016%2F6%2F15%2F11934794%2Fcartoon-predicting-a-mass-shooting-mathematically-impossible%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Demail%26utm_campaign%3Dvox%26utm_content%3Dshare%3Aarticle%3Atop\"> <\/a><a> <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>In the wake of mass shootings, many people wonder how  they could have been prevented. Were there warning signs that should  have been heeded? Was the person mentally ill? Did he or she hold  extremist views?<\/p>\n<p>The sad truth is that the only personal factors that  reliably correlate with mass shooters are being young and male. There  are a lot of young, angsty men in this country. That makes prediction  hard.<\/p>\n<p><span>Guardar<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Excelente exemplo na previs\u00e3o de acontecimentos raros This cartoon explains why predicting a mass shooting is impossible It\u2019s simple math. Updated by Brian Resnick and Javier Zarracina on June 15, 2016, 10:30 a.m. ET Tweet Share (713) + In the wake of mass shootings, many people wonder how they could have been prevented. Were there [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,102],"tags":[120],"class_list":["post-1724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-data-mining","category-estatistica","tag-previsao"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/159"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1724"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1724\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1727,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1724\/revisions\/1727"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.uac.pt\/amendes\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}